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Can Don Berwick Capture the Warren Wing?

The Atlantic’s Molly Ball wrote an interesting piece last week titled The Left’s Quiet Advance in Democratic Primaries. She was careful not to claim too much for the evidence she collected but still,...

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Grossman’s free media miscalculation

Steve Grossman had a plan. The plan was to spend the pre-convention period building the best campaign infrastructure and volunteer army. The post-convention summer period was supposed to be when the...

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Probation Mess: Perception v. Strategic Reality in Guv’s Race

Political scientists have long been debated the relative significance of various factors in determining electoral outcomes. One debate focuses on the relative significance of turning out base partisan...

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MassForward’s “Mother’s Ad” Disappears and Social Science Suggests Why: Race

All the talk this week in the Massachusetts Governor’s race is on the ad Martha Coakley is running that paints her as a political outsider who has never been embraced by the old boy’s club. She’s right...

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Has the Globe’s weekly poll impacted the Guv’s race?

The Globe’s Frank Phillips recently called the ongoing race for the corner office in Massachusetts “one of the least-energized statewide races in years.” His Globe colleague Jim O’Sullivan speculates...

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Globe Poll: So Much Data, So Little Context

Conflict and controversy are marketable media commodities and stability is just plain boooooorrrring. Thus we have Sunday’s Boston Globe story based on the newspaper’s poll showing that if Martha...

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From the Archives: The Coakley Media Narrative

Prof. Cunningham is on vacation but has left behind some favorite posts from the archives. Read on to consider that Martha Coakley’s 2010 mistakes did not cost her that race but could cost her this...

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“Anatomy of a disagreement” or “My beef with Bernstein”

It used to be said that you shouldn’t argue with folks who buy ink by the barrel. An Information Age corollary to that sage admonition might be, you shouldn’t argue with top Twitter Influencers. The...

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Primary Misgivings

Primary day dawns with misgivings about what we know and why we think we know it. We will apparently not be lacking for new polls as the election season continues or debates among the leading...

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Our primary colors are bland

What happens if you throw a primary election and no one shows up? Massachusetts seems to be determined to answer that question in relative short order. In his primary wrap up, Steve Koczela noted last...

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